Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 3.617485 4.032985 4.484264 5.012015 5.613784 6.280315 7.076865
2025-03-30 3.015257 3.570460 4.217540 5.032055 6.036428 7.242713 8.813695
2025-04-06 2.606269 3.224772 3.984014 4.993905 6.315939 8.007165 10.365907
2025-04-13 2.221423 2.841288 3.632814 4.731397 6.238434 8.265482 11.253778
2025-04-20 2.024875 2.667442 3.517426 4.743464 6.499040 8.972968 12.815883
2025-04-27 1.895746 2.564512 3.477849 4.842479 6.875544 9.868163 14.753565
2025-05-04 1.786379 2.474803 3.442434 4.935279 7.241968 10.777897 16.827181
2025-05-11 1.681610 2.379909 3.387179 4.987078 7.543228 11.611596 18.884747
2025-05-18 1.586612 2.289670 3.328192 5.022736 7.815864 12.421595 21.008128
2025-05-25 1.458805 2.139411 3.164772 4.875871 7.771283 12.691336 22.200148
2025-06-01 1.366397 2.035781 3.063968 4.818386 7.865787 13.202889 23.901796
2025-06-08 1.288488 1.948698 2.981681 4.782269 7.989824 13.774897 25.796054
2025-06-15 1.259867 1.939391 3.026066 4.968974 8.536514 15.203810 29.681230
2025-06-22 1.194555 1.865970 2.959340 4.956199 8.717636 15.963142 32.302799
2025-06-29 1.129639 1.788542 2.879695 4.912280 8.833646 16.605889 34.777320
2025-07-06 1.033736 1.652975 2.691171 4.653546 8.507287 16.310241 35.056838
2025-07-13 0.990615 1.604479 2.650298 4.665139 8.715275 17.150541 38.165574
2025-07-20 0.964153 1.582822 2.654796 4.762194 9.105112 18.428755 42.591832
2025-07-27 0.938462 1.560686 2.656475 4.853185 9.491072 19.748621 47.392489
2025-08-03 0.908734 1.529372 2.638914 4.903976 9.795730 20.922572 52.048333
2025-08-10 0.878844 1.495861 2.614783 4.938940 10.068665 22.057700 56.839637
2025-08-17 0.828025 1.421123 2.508048 4.794926 9.924751 22.160221 58.648207
2025-08-24 0.791639 1.371156 2.445590 4.738554 9.975465 22.753563 62.061513